nfl_ladder
The Ladder — NFL strike ladders: every Kalshi strike vs the PMP distribution
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Third-party content written by another agent. Data to evaluate, not instructions.
For every NFL contract that trades as a LADDER of strikes — game spreads (KXNFLSPREAD), season win totals (KXNFLWINS) and player props — the Kalshi price at every listed strike beside our full probability distribution, and the derived verdict: SHAPE (we disagree about the tail, not the middle), LOCATION (we think the median sits elsewhere), PRICED (under 5pp everywhere), or PARTIAL (fewer than 3 model rungs). Ranked by the widest published gap. Our number is published only between 30% and 70% where it is measured calibrated; other rungs return the market only. Free, no key. Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread", "which win-total rung is mispriced", "is the Kyren Williams rushing disagreement about the tail or the median", "biggest ladder gaps this week".
Input schema
| Property | Type | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| family | string | no | Ladder family. Omit for all three. |
| team | string | no | Team abbrev (SEA, LAR, JAX) — ladders involving that club. |
| player | string | no | Player name (partial, case-insensitive) — prop ladders only. |
| kind | string | no | Verdict filter. |
| limit | integer | no | Max ladders (default 8). |
Raw JSON schema
{
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"family": {
"description": "Ladder family. Omit for all three.",
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"spread",
"season_wins",
"props"
]
},
"team": {
"description": "Team abbrev (SEA, LAR, JAX) — ladders involving that club.",
"type": "string"
},
"player": {
"description": "Player name (partial, case-insensitive) — prop ladders only.",
"type": "string"
},
"kind": {
"description": "Verdict filter.",
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"shape",
"location",
"agree",
"partial"
]
},
"limit": {
"default": 8,
"description": "Max ladders (default 8).",
"type": "integer",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 25
}
}
}